To accurately predict when and where you can see the northern lights, we track three 3 essential measurements: KP index 1, HPI 2, and Bz 3. Understanding these values will help you find the best time to see this spectacular phenomenon.
What is the Kp Index?
1
The Kp Index is the most important measurement for aurora viewing, ranging from 0 to 9. The Kp-index does not have a physical unit - it is a quasi-logarithmic scale that measures the global geomagnetic disturbances caused by solar wind.
Kp 0-2: Weak Activity
Common
Only visible near the Arctic Circle under perfect conditions. Best spots: Northern Scandinavia.
Kp 3-4: Good Conditions
Common
Visible in places like Tromsø, Abisko, and Iceland. Perfect for planned aurora trips.
Kp 5-6: Storm Levels
Uncommon
Can reach southern Scandinavia and northern UK. Worth traveling to see!
Kp 7-9: Major Storm
Rare
Visible at mid-latitudes. Extremely rare but spectacular displays.
What is HPI?
2
The Hemispheric Power Index measures the total energy of the aurora in gigawatts (GW).
Below 20 GW: Low Activity
Faint auroras, typically only visible with cameras or in perfect conditions.
20-35 GW: Normal Activity
Visible to the naked eye in dark locations. Good photography conditions.
35-50 GW: Strong Activity
Bright, dynamic auroras. Excellent for both viewing and photography.
Above 50 GW: Intense Activity
Very bright and active. Can sometimes be seen despite light pollution.
What is Bz?
3
The solar wind's magnetic direction that triggers aurora activity when pointing south (negative values).
Above 0 nT
Stable conditions. Lower chance of aurora activity.
0 to -5 nT
Mild conditions. Aurora possible in usual locations.
-5 to -10 nT
Good conditions for aurora formation. Worth monitoring.
Below -10 nT
Strong magnetic storm conditions. High chance of aurora activity.
Viewing Tips
Info
Follow these guidelines to maximize your chances of seeing the aurora.
Best Viewing Locations
ALWAYS
Choose a dark location away from city lights
Aurora Timing Guide
Aurora Activity Probability by Hour
Best during polar night (Oct-Mar) when skies are darkest. Displays last 15 min - 2 hours